Indonesia’s South China Sea Policy: The Limits of Hedging
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.57096/edunity.v2i11.177Keywords:
China, Foreign Policy, Hedging, Indonesia, Security, South China SeaAbstract
This paper discusses Indonesia's hedging policies towards China, especially in the South China Sea issue. In line with a free and active foreign policy principle, Indonesia seeks a middle way by establishing cooperation with the United States and China, two major powers with different interests in the South China Sea issue. This research is qualitative research using a case study approach. In this study, I carried out two data collection techniques, namely interviews and literature studies. The political elite decides to hedge within a government, so it is motivated more internally than externally. Hedging is a tactic that demands a low commitment to a country that does not represent friend or foe. However, in line with the increasing competition between the two, Indonesia's hedging strategy may fail due to external pressure to join one side. Therefore, in maximizing the hedging strategy, Indonesia seems to need to increase its defense capabilities to increase its bargaining position and deter threats from external parties
References
Anthony, H. Cordesman. (2019). China’s New 2019 Defense White Paper.
Atanassova, Cornelis, Elena, Sato, Yoichiro, & Sauer, Tom. (2023). Alliances in Asia and Europe: The Evolving Indo-Pacific Strategic Context and Inter-Regional Alignments. Taylor & Francis.
Balance, The Military. (2015). The Military Balance 2015.
Bican, Bu?rahan. (2023). ‘Historical Mistake’and the USA-China Global Rivalry: The South China Sea Dispute. International Journal of Politics and Security, 5(2), 1–33.
Bodeen, Christopher. (2019). CARAT and the stick: Latest South China Sea developments.
Cheng-Chwee, Kuik. (2008). The essence of hedging: Malaysia and Singapore’s response to a rising China. Contemporary Southeast Asia: A Journal of International and Strategic Affairs, 30(2), 159–185.
Ciorciari, John D. (2019). The variable effectiveness of hedging strategies. International Relations of the Asia-Pacific, 19(3), 523–555.
Ettinger, Aaron. (2017). US national security strategies: Patterns of continuity and change, 1987–2015. Comparative Strategy, 36(2), 115–128.
field, Natuna. (2007). Natuna Gas Field – Greater Sarawak Basin.
Gavin, Michelle. (2023). The U.S.-Southeast Asia Relationship: Responding to China’s Rise.
Goh, Evelyn. (2005). Meeting the China challenge: The US in Southeast Asian regional security strategies.
Gompert, David, Cevallos, Astrid, & Garafola, Cristina. (2016). War with China: Thinking Through the Unthinkable. https://doi.org/10.7249/RR1140
Haacke, Jürgen. (2019). The concept of hedging and its application to Southeast Asia: A critique and a proposal for a modified conceptual and methodological framework. International Relations of the Asia-Pacific, 19(3), 375–417.
Heydarian, R. J. H. (2019). ASEAN Wants a US Counterbalance to Chinese Regional Ambitions. The National Interest.
Indonesia, Departemen Perdagangan Republik. (2020). Neraca Perdagangan dengan Negara Mitra Dagang. Diakses Pada Senin, 15.
Indonesia, Keputusan Menteri Keuangan Republik, & Bea, Penetapan Harga Ekspor Untuk Penghitungan. (2021). Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia. Retrieved, 3(02), 2023.
Iseas. (2019). The State of Southeast Asia: 2019 Survey Report.
Ismail, Saifulbahri. (2017). China demands Indonesia rescind decision to rename part of South China Sea.
Johnson, Jesse. (2019). First U.S.-ASEAN joint maritime drills kick off as Washington beefs up presence in South China Sea.
Korolev, Alexander. (2019). Shrinking room for hedging: system-unit dynamics and behavior of smaller powers. International Relations of the Asia-Pacific, 19(3), 419–452.
Kusumasari, Dita. (2020). External debt of Indonesia: From debt-led growth to growth-led debt. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan, 18(1), 21–30.
Leginosuko, Tri, Pedrason, Rodon, Sumarlan, Sutrimo, & Halkis, Mhd. (2021). Reorientation of Indonesian Defense Diplomacy for Security Stability in the South China Sea. Political Science and Security Studies Journal, 2(4), 3–10.
Lendon, Brad. (2019). China tests anti-ship missile in South China Sea, Pentagon says.
Liow, Joseph Chinyong, & Chan, Jane. (2016). The PCA Ruling and ASEAN: A Call for Unity.
MacDougall, James C. (2017). Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides’s Trap? The US Army War College Quarterly: Parameters, 47(2), 13.
McDevitt, Michael A. (2020). China as a Twenty-First Century Naval Power: Theory, Practice, and Implications. Naval Institute Press.
Morris, Lyle J., & Paoli, Giacomo Persi. (2018). A Preliminary Assessment of Indonesia’s Maritime Security Threats and Capabilities. RAND Cambridge.
Murphy, Ann Marie. (2010). US rapprochement with Indonesia: from problem state to partner. Contemporary Southeast Asia, 362–387.
Novotny, Daniel. (2010). Torn between America and China: Elite perceptions and Indonesian foreign policy. Institute of Southeast Asian Studies.
Parameswaran, Prashanth. (2015). The new U.S.-Indonesia strategic partnership after Jokowi’s visit: Problems and prospects.
Parameswaran, Prashanth. (2019). Air Force Exercise Highlights US-Indonesia Military Cooperation.
Patton, Michael Quinn. (2014). Qualitative research & evaluation methods: Integrating theory and practice. Sage publications.
Phillips, Tom, Holmes, Oliver, & Bowcott, Owen. (2016). Beijing rejects tribunal’s ruling in South China Sea case.
Press, Associated. (2018). US may upset Beijing after it backs Indonesian claim on South China Sea near Natuna islands.
Rakhmat, Muhammad Zulfikar. (2019). Can Indonesia Avoid the Chinese Debt Trap?
Said, Ali, & Sutiono, Sutiono. (2021). Analisis persepsi bendahara pengeluaran atas aspek kepentingan dan kinerja pengguna dan mitra perbankan dalam penerapan kartu kredit pemerintah. Jurnal Manajemen Perbendaharaan, 2(1), 17–34.
Schweller, Randall L. (1994). Bandwagoning for Profit: Bringing the Revisionist State Back In. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1162/isec.19.1.72
Sheany. (2017). Indonesia, China and the North Natuna Sea.
Silaen. (2019). President Jokowi Introduces New Cabinet Lineup.
Sinaga, Lidya Christin, Sinaga, Christin, & Krishnan. (2018). Six Decades of Indonesia-China Relations. Springer.
Sukma, Rizal. (2009). Indonesia and China: The Politics of a Troubled Relationship.
Tang, Chih Mao. (2018). Small states and hegemonic competition in Southeast Asia: Pursuing autonomy, security and development amid great power politics. Routledge.
Team, China Power. (2018). How is China modernizing its navy? China Power, December 17.
Valencia, Mark J. (2019). Who Is Behaving ‘Badly’ In The South China Sea? – Analysis.
Walt, Stephen M. (1990). The origins of alliance. Cornell University Press.
Word Blan Grup. (2019). China Economic Update.
Zhao, Suisheng. (2018). China and the South China Sea arbitration: Geopolitics versus international law. Journal of Contemporary China, 27(109), 1–15.
Zhou, Taomo. (2014). China and the thirtieth of September movement. Indonesia, (98), 29–58.
Zhu, Cuiping. (2019). Annual Report on the Development of the Indian Ocean Region (2018).
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2023 Ajeng Rizqi Rahmanillah, Tiara Putih Bastian, Rizky Ihsan
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under aCreative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC-BY-SA). that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work.